Point and Figure Up-Trend

An upward Point and Figure spike, where a rally exceeds the previous column of Xs by at least 10 boxes. This is a signal to take profits: spikes can reverse sharply and there is nothing worse than seeing those hard-earned profits disappear before your eyes.

Occasionally you will be lucky enough to experience two/more spikes in succession; so be on the lookout for a short pull-back (no more than say 3 boxes). Re-enter if there is a short retracement followed by a breakout above the previous high. Keep stops tight.

Point and Figure Down-Trend

Thomas Dorsey (Point & Figure Charting) mentions a long tail down pattern, where a single column of Os is 20 or more boxes, which he uses as a buy signal. I would not be that adventurous. I suspect that successive downward spikes are more common than successive upward spikes. If, however, a column of Os exceeds the previous trough by at least 10 boxes, it is clearly a signal to take profits on short positions. Exit on the start of a new column of Xs.

Re-enter if there is a short retracement followed by a breakout below the previous low. Keep stops tight.

Pattern Failure

At times we are all confronted with situations like this: Caltex Australia [CTX] failed to correct sharply on the Point and Figure chart as expected. Instead it formed a narrow consolidation after a tall spike, before breaking out on the upside.

A narrow consolidation is a bullish sign in an up-trend. There are two options:

  1. Re-enter during the consolidation; or
  2. Enter on the breakout above the previous high.

Stops can be placed below the lower border of the consolidation.

Post a Comment

Previous Post Next Post